It is the peak season of fertilizer sales again. This year, the fertilizer sales in autumn started early and the competition is big, presenting new changes different from the past. Moreover, the market performance of several major varieties is quite different, which affects the judgment of some dealers and farmers.

While oil and food prices are rising at an alarming rate, fertilizer prices are adding to the cost of farming at an even more alarming rate.

Fertilizer prices will go up again in September, the rate of increase is fierce!

Recently, the circle of friends of agricultural material person is informed refresh by the notice that fertilizer product of each big shop shop price rises again and again, according to informed personage discloses: factory price of countrywide major brand fertilizer will rise across the board.

Although some enterprises have not directly raised the factory price, but through the reduction of preferential orders and other ways to increase product sales price. At the same time, many companies are repricing and developing relevant sales policies.

Autumn sales curtain has opened, how to do the choice?

The second half of the urea market trend has been set

It is expected to be 1750-1950 yuan/ton

First half hot, second half cold, this is this year urea market performance. Statistics show that in the first half of this year, the cumulative average price of domestic small particle urea is 1997 yuan/ton, up 21.39% year on year; The cumulative average price of large-particle urea was 1992 yuan/ton, up 24.03% year on year.

Fertilizer use for four quarters of the year is reserved for spring plowing next year. In general, the trend of urea has been set. It is suggested to prepare fertilizer for urea in the autumn, and we can start to build warehouse successively from now on, but it is not recommended to store more, because there are more substitutes for urea. With urea can also be used, with high nitrogen fertilizer can also be used, even with small nitrogen fertilizer can also be used, so farmers can continue to build warehouse, industrial words with the production can be used.

The price such as phosphorous ore, sulfuric acid wants to go up for certain!

Phosphate fertilizer enters sale peak after September

Unlike the overall situation of urea market trend has been determined, the trend of phosphate fertilizer market is very tangled. Overall, the price of phosphate fertilizer is stable. Look from aftermarket, the market of phosphor fertilizer is indeterminate again. The personage inside course of study says, be stimulated by the exit at present, the price of phosphor fertilizer appeared local rise.

On the one hand because of the devaluation of the RMB, on the other hand because of the rise of raw materials, the price of phosphate fertilizer to pick up.

The enterprises are grasping the time and using a better time to export, both in quantity and price, are much better than last year, so phosphate fertilizer is now basically in the supply of export.

The export prices of monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate, the main types of phosphate fertilizer, have increased by 10% compared with last year.

Although domestic this piece also has now collect money, but have to wait till later period ability deliver goods, there is no goods on the market now, goods source is partial tight.

At present, the export profit is high and the domestic supply of phosphate fertilizer is limited. At the same time, the domestic phosphate fertilizer sales have entered the peak period since September, and dealers are generally willing to stock up, so the price of phosphate fertilizer in the domestic market has maintained a stable state.

So what happens next, when exports are largely over and phosphate supplies are mostly diverted to the domestic market?

Since the price of raw materials will definitely go up in the later stage, the price of raw materials will not go down, whether it is phosphate ore or sulfuric acid. The production cost is relatively high, but the downstream demand is not very large, and the current phosphate fertilizer is also very tangled.

Dealers are working hard to sell goods, to compound fertilizer inventory.

Manufacturers began to make new offers, many up 50-100 yuan a ton

Fertilizer market prices have started to rise in September as compound fertilizers can replace phosphate and various factors affecting prices are intertwined. In such a case, if the farmers demand larger can prepare some goods, influence of compound fertilizer market also has a lot of variables, if farmers money less pressed, can according to the specific promotion policy moderate fat, but if the dosage of the farmers themselves is limited, only one or two bags of fertilizer, can buy in fertilization.

Factors influencing the fertilizer price market in 2018:

Fertilizer production is greatly affected by environmental factors. Before productivity factor is big to fertilizer yield effect, environmental protection factor is big now. In 2018, the central economic work conference called for "" a tough battle to prevent and control pollution, a substantial reduction in the total discharge of major pollutants, and overall improvement in the quality of the ecological environment." " Environmental protection will not be relaxed in 2018, and the impact on the fertilizer market will be further revealed.

In addition, the implementation of the environmental protection tax in 2018 will also have an impact on the fertilizer market. According to the environmental protection tax law, the tax rate for air pollutants is 1.2-12 yuan per unit of pollution equivalent, and the tax rate for water pollutants is 1.4-14 yuan per unit of pollution equivalent.

There are differences between provinces. The standard in shanxi is 1.8 yuan per unit of air pollution equivalent and 2.1 yuan per unit of water pollution equivalent. Hunan's air pollutants cost 2.4 yuan per unit of pollution equivalent, while water pollutants cost 3 yuan per unit of pollution equivalent. Collection standard is different, each district fertilizer enterprise produces cost to exist difference. Prices are sure to go up as raw materials go up.

Fertilizer prices will remain relatively high in 2018 and are expected to be the highest since 2016. The main reasons are: macroeconomic recovery is better than expected, steel and other commodity prices rose sharply, fertilizer prices will also take advantage of the upward trend; The price of raw materials such as coal rises, and the cost of fertilizer production rises. Fertilizer production capacity has achieved some results, the contradiction between supply and demand is not as prominent as before.